| KEYWORD |
Development of a comprehensive metric to assess the risks of the energy transition
keywords CRITICAL RAW MATERIALS, ENERGY MODELS, ENERGY SECURITY, RISK, SCENARIO ANALYSIS
Reference persons LAURA SAVOLDI
Description The energy transition could lead to several trade-offs. The decrease of fossil-fuels consumption implies environmental (reduction of CO2 emissions and local pollution) and security (decrease of import dependency) beneficial effects for energy systems worldwide. On the other hand, the ongoing and foreseen massive penetration of transition technologies such as low-carbon power generation, utility-scale storage, and battery-electric vehicles would consume much more raw materials than the traditional fossil-based infrastructures. Moreover, the high geographical concentration associated with transition technologies supply chains increases the risks for potential bottlenecks (hereinafter supply risk (SR)). Lastly, environmental and social concerns arise from the mining and refining activities for many of the materials required by those technologies. Despite an increasing literature on future material requirements in energy transition scenarios, a very few studies propose SR metrics for the transition materials and technologies, while research gaps exist concerning the extension of such metrics to the environmental and social aspects. In this regard, this thesis aims to:
1) review the current state of the art on indicators and metrics describing technologies supply chains;
2) develop a comprehensive metric including security, environmental, and social aspects related to the transition technologies supply chains;
3) apply such metric to energy scenarios from TEMOA model instances to assess the clean energy transition risks.
Deadline 02/07/2025
PROPONI LA TUA CANDIDATURA